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Research Article

Firm’s Strategic Contexts and Scenario-based Management in the Age of Korean Unification

Seog Kyeun Kwun

Hankuk University of Foreign Studies

Published: January 2012 · Vol. 16, No. 1 · pp. 119-141
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Abstract

Korean unification will bring the most dramatic environmental jolts which exert comprehensive and vast influence on Korean businesses, markets, human capitals. etc. Korean firms seem to be unprepared to the upcoming historic moments of Korean unification, however, partly because the impacts of such environmental changes are so vague and uncertain. The uncertainties are so overwhelming that individual firms can not take proactive positions. This paper emphasizes the need for scenario-based management and presents 6 key scenarios derived from the two dimensions critical to factor conditions and demand conditions of North Korean markets. Those are the degree of market integration and the degree of the economic development gap between South and North Korean regions. Strategic contingency plans are required along with the scenarios.
Keywords: 통일시대 경영환경미시-거시 딜레마2차경제시장화시나리오경영남북한간 시장통합 정도남북한간 경제수준 격차경영환경시나리오시나리오 플래닝